The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the oil price will be $81.8 per barrel in 2024, $71.8 per barrel in 2025, $70.1 per barrel in 2026 and $69.2 per barrel in 2027.Accidents happen frequently. Our embassy reminds China compatriots in Thailand to participate in high-risk tourism projects cautiously. On the 12th, the China Embassy in Thailand issued a document reminding China compatriots in Thailand to participate in high-risk tourism projects cautiously. The Embassy said that a China compatriot who came to Thailand to participate in paragliding recently had an accident. Since the beginning of this year, several China compatriots have had accidents due to their participation in high-risk sports or recreational projects. The Embassy of China in Thailand would like to remind our compatriots in Thailand to have a firm sense of risk. When choosing tourism projects, please comprehensively consider the qualifications of the project company, the quality of equipment and facilities, transportation, medical assistance and supporting services. Fully consider the possible hidden risks, combined with their own physical condition and reasonable judgment, paragliding, jungle leap, snorkeling, upstream, cave exploration and other projects have higher risks. If you really need to participate, please choose a regular travel agency or project organization, fully understand the terms of the agreement and sign a formal contract, receive technical training, wear life-saving equipment and abide by relevant regulations. It is recommended to buy personal accident insurance. In case of unexpected circumstances, please call the police in Thailand for help as soon as possible, and contact the embassy or consulate in Thailand to minimize losses.Wu Yaping, Research Fellow, Investment Research Institute, National Development and Reform Commission: Enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation and give full play to the combination of different policy tools. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to integrate economic policies and non-economic policies into the consistency assessment of macro-policy orientation, coordinate the whole process of policy formulation and implementation, and improve the overall effectiveness of policies. In this regard, Wu Yaping, a researcher at the Investment Research Institute of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that to enhance the consistency of macro-policy orientation, it is necessary to strengthen and improve the evaluation of macro-policy consistency, give full play to the combined force of more active fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy, and give play to the combined role of different policy tools. It can be understood as "three plus": increasing fiscal and monetary policies, strengthening support for "duality" and "two innovations", and strengthening efforts to prevent and resolve risks in key areas. "The external environment will face greater uncertainty next year. We must adhere to' taking me as the main factor', strengthen the research on reserve policy, and fight for preparation." Wu Yaping said. (SSE)
Unica: In the second half of November, the sugar production in central and southern Brazil was 1.084 million tons. According to UNICA, the sugar production in central and southern Brazil reached 1.084 million tons in the second half of November, which was 23% lower than the same period last year. The amount of sugarcane crushed was 20.35 million tons, down by 15.2% compared with the same period of last year. Ethanol production was 1.19 billion liters, down 5.18% year-on-year. 44.89% of sugarcane juice was used for sugar production, compared with 46.54% in the same period of last year.European Central Bank President Lagarde: The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that as it gradually approaches the neutral interest rate, it will further discuss its related issues. The neutral interest rate may be slightly higher than before, and will be discussed in due course.Trump: For me, the stock market is everything and very important.
After the US PPI and initial application data were released, the price of gold dropped further. After the US PPI and initial application data exceeded expectations, the price of gold continued to decline. Paul Ashworth, a macro analyst at Kaitou, said: "The components of PCE favored by the Federal Reserve are generally weak, and the CPI data released yesterday indicate that the monthly rate of core PCE will only increase slightly by 0.03%. Now it seems that the Fed is more likely to continue to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. " At the same time, the number of initial jobless claims increased by 17,000 last week, the highest level since mid-October last year, while economists expected a decrease of 4,000 to 220,000.Spot silver fell below $31 per ounce, down 2.82% in the day. COMEX silver fell 4.00% in the day and is now quoted at $31.65 per ounce.The yield of German 10-year government bonds rose by 5 basis points to 2.18%, the highest level in two weeks.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14